Anupam Kashyapi, head of weather forecasting division, India Meteorological Department (IMD), Pune, told TOI, “The monsoon is expected to revive after June 23, with a possibility of heavy rainfall in isolated parts of Konkan and adjacent ghat areas of Pune city/district around June 26. Warnings are likely for Pune ghat areas around June 25. The Pune city areas may only record light to moderate rainfall during that period.”
Kashyapi said the monsoon revival is likely to help recharge the parched soil in city and the ghat areas in Pune district. “For a couple of days at least from June 24, the dam catchment areas around Pune may also get good rainfall. The main reasons include the gradual strengthening of the westerly winds and the likely development of an offshore trough over north Maharashtra. Konkan is also likely to receive widespread rainfall during that period due to the development of pressure gradient over Sahyadri range. The adjacent areas of Madhya Maharashtra may also get scattered to fairly widespread rainfall,” he said.
Vineet Kumar Singh, researcher from the Typhoon Research Centre Jeju National University, South Korea, told TOI that nearly 40-50mm rainfall was possible for Pune ghats on June 25-26, while very heavy rain was likely on June 27-28, with Lonavla Khandala and Tamhini crossing 100mm rainfall on June 27 and 28.
“Dams may not fill up immediately as downpour is unlikely. Some rise in dam water levels will start from June 27,” he said.