The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued ‘orange’ warnings, indicating the possibility of heavy to very heavy or extremely heavy rainfall in certain areas of Konkan and the ghats of Pune, Satara and Kolhapur.
Anupam Kashyapi, the head of the weather forecasting division at IMD Pune, told TOI, “Rainfall activity is very likely to increase over Maharashtra over the next five days. An orange alert has been issued for isolated very heavy to extremely heavy rainfall over Konkan and the ghats of Madhya Maharashtra. A yellow alert has been issued for isolated heavy to very heavy rain over the rest of the state.”
Kashyapi said, “The last spell in Maharashtra, which actually brought monsoon to the state, was strong enough. But the upcoming spell might just be stronger. The monsoon is set to regain its vigour as several weather systems converge over the Indian subcontinent. These systems include an offshore trough extending from south Gujarat to Kerala, an upper air cyclonic circulation (UAC) over south Gujarat, another UAC over the southwest Bay of Bengal, and the monsoon trough. This offshore trough is a region of relatively low pressure over the Arabian Sea, parallel to the western coast of India. It plays a crucial role in enhancing rainfall along the western coastal areas due to strengthening of westerly winds. Combined with other systems, this could lead to a significant enhancement in the monsoon rainfall in the coming days.”
Kashyapi said in Pune city, the upcoming forecast for July includes overcast skies with a high likelihood of moderate rain on Wednesday, followed by a chance of moderate to isolated heavy rain on Thursday. The ghat areas in Pune can expect very heavy to isolated extremely heavy rain during these days. On Friday, the weather will remain overcast with a likelihood of moderate rain, and the ghat areas may experience heavy to isolated very heavy rain, he said.
Weather expert Vineet Kumar Singh said, “According to IMD’s global forecast system, the city is likely to receive 15-20mm of rainfall on Wednesday, followed by 35-45mm on Thursday, with areas like Hinjewadi, Talegaon, Bavdhan and other parts of west Pune potentially experiencing rainfall exceeding 50mm. East Pune may see around 10-12mm of rainfall on Wednesday and 30-35mm on Thursday.”